ZhiXing Column · 2025-07-01

Startup Commentary”Learning Machines Compete in AI: Who Will Be the Winner?”

Read More《学习机拼AI,谁是赢家?》

Positive Comments: The Integration of “AI + Education” in the Learning Machine Market Drives Educational Hardware into a New Stage of Value Upgrade

The explosive growth and multi – dimensional competition in the current learning machine market are essentially the result of the in – depth integration of educational needs and technological innovation. From the perspective of market data, user feedback, and industry trends, the confrontation between the “education and training faction” and the “technology faction” is driving the learning machine to upgrade from a “hardware tool” to an “intelligent educational partner.” Its positive significance is mainly reflected in the following three aspects:

I. Demand – Driven Market Expansion Activates New Possibilities for Educational Inclusiveness

The high popularity of the learning machine market is not accidental. The parents’ rigid demand for “efficient tutoring tools,” the expansion of home – based self – learning scenarios after the “double reduction” policy, and the subsidy stimulus of the “national subsidy” policy for educational hardware together constitute the underlying logic of market growth. The sales volume of 1.265 million units in the first quarter of 2025 (a year – on – year increase of 29.4%) and the 560 million topic views on Xiaohongshu all confirm that learning machines have changed from “optional consumer goods” to “family necessities.” More notably, the penetration rate in the sinking market has increased to 28% (with a year – on – year sales increase of 120%), which means that families in third – and fourth – tier cities are obtaining high – quality educational resources through learning machines. This is of great significance for alleviating the imbalance of regional educational resources and promoting educational inclusiveness.

II. Dual – Wheel Drive of “Content + Technology” Reconstructs the Core Value of Learning Machines

The differentiated competition between the education and training faction and the technology faction just makes up for the short – boards of “content” and “technology” in learning machines. Relying on years of accumulated question banks (such as Zuoyebang’s 2.4 billion question bank), self – developed courses (Xueersi’s 16 million – minute courses), and multiple versions of textbooks (Yuanfudao’s 299 versions), the education and training faction solves the problem of “what to learn.” The technology faction, on the other hand, optimizes the experience of “how to learn” with large models (such as iFlytek Spark large model), multi – modal interaction (Xiaodu’s emotion recognition), and the ability to integrate software and hardware. The collision between the two not only drives the product from the 1.0 era of “hardware + basic content” to the 2.0 era of “AI precise learning,” but also enables the learning machine to have the closed – loop ability of “personalized diagnosis – customized plan – dynamic feedback.” For example, Zuoyebang’s “2 – second response to photo – taking questions” and Xueersi’s “AI on – the – spot question generation of explanatory videos” essentially combine the teaching and research experience of education and training institutions with AI technology, upgrading the learning machine from an “answer tool” to a “thinking guide.”

III. Expansion of the Mid – end Market Accelerates Industry Standardization and User Education

The market’s concentration on the mid – end price range of 2000 – 2999 yuan (with a sales volume accounting for 30.9%, a year – on – year increase of 13.8%) is a key signal for learning machines to move from “high – end and niche” to “mass popularization.” This trend forces manufacturers to optimize their cost structures and improve cost – performance, while promoting the process of industry standardization. For example, the launch of mid – end models such as Zuoyebang P30 and Xueersi P4 not only meets the demand of the sinking market for “good quality at a reasonable price,” but also spreads the R & D cost through large – scale sales, feeding back into the iteration of high – end technologies. More importantly, the expansion of the mid – end market accelerates user education. When more families come into contact with learning machines and verify their value, the market’s acceptance of “AI + education” will be further improved, laying a user foundation for the long – term development of the industry.

Negative Comments: Homogenization, Technological Limitations, and Market Miscalculations – The Learning Machine Industry Still Needs to Break Through Multiple Bottlenecks

Although the learning machine market presents a prosperous scene, the hidden concerns behind the rapid expansion are also worthy of vigilance. From the homogenization of functions to the unbalanced application of technology, from the false labeling of hardware publicity to the deviation of strategies in the sinking market, if the industry fails to solve these problems, it may fall into the development trap of “increasing quantity without improving quality.”

I. Severe Homogenization of AI Functions, and the Industry is Caught in “Involution – style Innovation”

The AI functions of current learning machines have fallen into a highly convergent dilemma. Whether it is AI homework correction, learning situation diagnosis, emotion recognition, or parental control, the function lists of mainstream brands are almost “copied and pasted.” After a certain brand launched the “one – on – one AI teacher” function, other brands quickly followed suit with similar functions. In the AI emotional companionship function, Xueersi focuses on emotional support, while Xiaodu features interesting feedback, but the underlying logic still revolves around “micro – expression recognition + voice encouragement,” and the differentiation only stays at the detail level. This “function – following” phenomenon is essentially a shallow response of manufacturers to user needs. In order to quickly seize the market, they prefer to choose “proven effective” functions rather than deeply explore user pain points. In the long run, the industry may fall into the involution of “piling up functions,” leading to a decline in users’ perception of AI innovation and even negative evaluations of “function redundancy.”

II. “Strong in Science, Weak in Humanities” in AI Application, and the Educational Value has Structural Defects

There is an obvious “unbalanced” problem in the application of AI in learning machines: the ability to correct and analyze science questions (especially objective questions) is relatively mature, but the processing of subjective humanities questions (such as composition and reading comprehension) still stays at the “answer output” stage, lacking thinking guidance and in – depth comments. The root cause of this phenomenon lies in the dual limitations of technology and content: science questions have fixed problem – solving steps, and models can be trained through a large number of question banks to summarize rules. However, humanities questions involve subjective content such as metaphor interpretation and emotional expression, which require more complex semantic understanding and creative generation abilities. The current large models are stronger in “logical reasoning” than in “emotional empathy,” making it difficult to meet the needs. More importantly, in order to achieve better publicity effects, some manufacturers over – emphasize the “omnipotence” of AI without clearly marking its ability boundaries, which may lead to parents’ misjudgment that “AI can replace human tutoring,” ultimately affecting the product’s reputation.

III. There is a Gap between Hardware Publicity and Actual Experience, and User Trust is under Test

In the hardware publicity of learning machines, “eye – protection” is one of the most concerned selling points for parents, but there is an obvious gap between the actual experience and the publicity. Although various brands have launched concepts such as “future paper – like eye – protecting screen” and “paper – like eye – protecting screen,” customer service generally admits that their essence is still LCD screens, which mainly achieve “eye – protection” through software filtering of blue light or anti – glare coatings. This “concept packaging” may trigger a user trust crisis. When parents find that the actual eye – protection effect of the “paper – like screen” is not significantly different from that of ordinary LCD screens, their trust in the brand’s technological credibility will be discounted. In addition, the actual effect of AI functions is greatly affected by the environment (such as emotion recognition relying on the accuracy of sensors and light conditions), and the performance of some functions (such as Xiaodu’s “emotional comfort”) is unstable in complex scenarios, further weakening users’ trust in “AI capabilities.”

IV. The Strategy in the Sinking Market “Emphasizes Expansion over Adaptation,” which May Lead to Mismatched Demands

Although manufacturers are accelerating the opening of stores in third – and fourth – tier cities (for example, 70% of Xueersi’s newly opened stores are located in third – and fourth – tier cities), the demands in the sinking market are significantly different from those in first – tier cities. Low – tier users pay more attention to “cost – performance” and “actual effects,” and their acceptance of complex AI functions may be lower than expected. For example, the core demand of some parents for buying learning machines is “homework tutoring” rather than “AI precise learning.” If manufacturers over – emphasize high – end functions while ignoring the coverage of basic question banks and the adaptation of textbook versions (such as the greater reliance on local textbooks in the sinking market), it may lead to a mismatch between products and demands. In addition, if the service capabilities in the sinking market (such as after – sales maintenance and function training) are not improved synchronously, it may cause problems in user experience and affect the brand’s reputation.

Suggestions for Entrepreneurs: Seize “Differentiation” and “User Demands” to Build Barriers in Niche Markets

The competition in the learning machine market has entered the “deep – water area.” Entrepreneurs need to break out of the inertial thinking of “piling up functions” and “competing on price” and start from user demands to build differentiated advantages in terms of technology, content, and service. The following are specific suggestions:

I. Focus on Technological Breakthroughs in “AI + Humanities” to Fill the Industry Gap

In response to the current pain point of “strong in science, weak in humanities” in AI, entrepreneurs can focus on the AI processing technology for subjective humanities questions. For example, use multi – modal large models (text + image + emotional analysis) to improve the depth of composition correction (such as structural comments and optimization of emotional expression), or design the “reading comprehension thinking guidance” function in combination with educational psychology, shifting from “giving answers” to “teaching methods.” In addition, entrepreneurs can cooperate with Chinese language education institutions and teaching and research teams to obtain high – quality humanities question banks and teaching methodologies, improving the professionalism of AI content.

II. Strengthen the Vertical Integration of “Content + Technology” to Build Differentiated Barriers

The content advantages of the education and training faction and the technological advantages of the technology faction are not opposing but complementary. Entrepreneurs can explore the vertical integration model of “content + technology.” For example, for specific subjects (such as mathematics and English) or specific school stages (such as primary school and junior high school), deeply integrate self – developed courses with AI diagnostic functions to launch “subject – specific learning machines”; or customize content according to regional educational characteristics (such as local textbooks in the sinking market) to solve the pain point of “textbook version adaptation.” This “vertical” strategy can not only avoid the homogenization of functions but also accurately meet the needs of niche users.

III. Optimize the Hardware Experience and Shift from “Concept Marketing” to “Effect Verification”

In hardware publicity, entrepreneurs need to pay more attention to “effect verification” rather than “concept packaging.” For example, for the eye – protection function, third – party test reports on blue – light filtering rate and stroboscopic test can be provided; for the AI emotion recognition function, the “optimal usage environment” (such as light brightness and distance requirements) can be marked, and the actual accuracy rate can be shown through user test data. In addition, entrepreneurs can launch “function experience packages” to allow users to try out core functions (such as AI composition correction and emotional companionship) for free before purchase, reducing the decision – making threshold and enhancing trust.

IV. The Sinking Market Requires “Adapting to Demands” Rather Than “Replicating the Model”

When expanding into the sinking market, entrepreneurs should avoid directly replicating the “high – end functions + high prices” model in first – tier cities and design products around the core needs of low – tier users. For example, reduce the cost of non – essential functions (such as complex emotional companionship) and focus on basic functions such as “homework tutoring” and “textbook synchronization”; improve service capabilities through “off – line experience + community operation” (such as regularly holding “learning machine usage training”); cooperate with local education institutions to provide a combined package of “learning machine + localized tutoring service” to enhance user stickiness.

V. Establish a “User Feedback – Rapid Iteration” Mechanism to Enhance the Product’s Vitality

The educational nature of learning machines determines that they need to continuously adapt to the changing needs of users. Entrepreneurs should establish an agile mechanism of “user feedback – function iteration”: collect user pain points (such as “slow AI correction speed” and “insufficiently detailed humanities analysis”) through off – line stores, communities, questionnaires and other channels, and quickly optimize the products; regularly launch “function upgrade packages” (such as adding a humanities correction module and optimizing the eye – protection mode) to extend the product’s life cycle and enhance the long – term value of users.

In summary, the wave of “AI + education” in the learning machine market is both an opportunity and a challenge. Entrepreneurs need to find a balance between technological innovation and user demands, build barriers through differentiated strategies, and respect the essence of education. Only products that truly solve learning pain points and improve learning efficiency can emerge victorious in this competition worth hundreds of billions.

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