ZhiXing Column · 2025-11-04

Startup Commentary”Go Gold – Hunting in Brazil: Sell 3,000 Orders a Day”

Read More《到巴西淘金去,一天卖出3000单》

Positive Reviews: The Blue Ocean of Brazilian E-commerce Activates New Global Business Momentum, with Chinese Enterprises Leading the Charge in Emerging Market Exploration

As the largest economy in Latin America, Brazil’s e-commerce market, characterized by “high growth and low penetration,” has become the “last fertile ground” for global cross – border e – commerce. The collective influx of Chinese e – commerce platforms and merchants not only provides new paths for them to break through growth bottlenecks but also demonstrates significant positive value in activating local consumption potential, promoting industrial upgrading, and improving infrastructure.

Firstly, the high – growth potential of the Brazilian e – commerce market offers a strategic opportunity period for Chinese enterprises. Data shows that the scale of the Brazilian e – commerce market is expected to exceed $70 billion in 2025, with an annual growth rate of over 20%, far exceeding the global average. This “growth dividend” is like a timely rain for Chinese cross – border e – commerce companies struggling with the intense competition in mature markets. Take Temu as an example. In just 14 months after its launch in Brazil, its traffic surpassed that of Mercado Libre and Shopee to top the list. TikTok Shop achieved a 25 – fold increase in GMV within three months, with a GMV of nearly $50 million in August. These achievements confirm Chinese enterprises’ accurate capture of emerging market demand – the favorability of Brazilian consumers towards “high – quality and affordable Chinese goods” has soared from 13% five years ago to 42%. The variety and price advantages of Chinese goods precisely fill the local market gap of “scarce goods.”

Secondly, the “catfish effect” of Chinese e – commerce has accelerated the improvement of infrastructure such as logistics and payment in Brazil. To compete with Chinese platforms, local and international giants like Mercado Libre, Shopee, and Amazon have stepped up their logistics investment. Mercado Libre plans to expand its distribution centers from 10 to 21 and introduce a fleet of 3,642 electric vehicles. Shopee has launched an ultra – large – scale logistics center in São Paulo, with a daily processing capacity of 3.8 million orders, and its warehousing area has exceeded that of Amazon. Amazon has covered 65% of the rural population through its “pick – up point” model, reducing the delivery time in remote areas to 24 hours. This “infrastructure upgrade driven by competition” not only improves the overall efficiency of the local e – commerce but also benefits local small and medium – sized enterprises. Amazon supports more than 700 local enterprises to transform into distribution centers through its “Delivery Service Partners (DSP) Program,” indirectly creating 170,000 jobs and forming a win – win ecosystem of “global technology + local cooperation.”

Finally, the “market education” of Chinese enterprises has promoted the online transformation of Brazilian consumption habits. After the pandemic, the demand for online shopping among Brazilian consumers has soared, but early market pain points such as slow logistics and difficult returns still restricted penetration. Chinese platforms quickly reached users with the strategy of “extremely low prices + intensive advertising.” Temu’s advertising expenditure in April 2025 was 800 times that of the same period last year, and the average unit price of Shopee’s products is only $7 (compared to $21 for Mercado Libre), successfully lowering the threshold for users to try. Data shows that the e – commerce penetration rate in Brazil has increased from less than 10% (a few years ago) to 13%, and Chinese enterprises’ “user cultivation” has played a significant role. This change in consumption habits not only creates long – term value for Chinese merchants but also promotes the digital transformation of the Brazilian retail industry, providing infrastructure support for the online development of local brands.

Negative Reviews: Hidden Risks in the “Sweet Period” of the Brazilian Market, Chinese Enterprises Need to Beware of the Cost of “Wild Growth”

Although the Brazilian market is full of alluring potential, its “early – stage market” characteristics also mean vague rules, high costs, and disorderly competition. If Chinese enterprises ignore the challenges of localization and long – term risks, they may fall into the trap of “the faster the growth, the greater the loss.”

Firstly, the dual pressures of logistics and taxation continue to squeeze profit margins. The “last – mile” problem in Brazilian logistics is one of the most challenging in the world. From China to Brazil, customs clearance and tax review take 5 – 15 days, and cross – border transportation takes 3 – 7 days (by air). After entering Brazil, the logistics cost in the southeast is twice that in the north, and the delivery time in remote areas can be as long as 10 – 20 days. Even in the southeast, where the user experience is relatively good, logistics costs still account for more than 30% of the total operating cost. More seriously, the tax policy has tightened. In August 2024, Brazil terminated the “small – value exemption,” imposing a 20% import tax on cross – border parcels worth less than $50 and a 60% tax (with a $20 reduction) on those worth between $50 and $3,000. This policy directly weakens the competitiveness of China’s “low – cost small – parcel” model. Some merchants estimate that the cost per order has increased by 15% – 20%, and if they cannot transfer the cost through price increases, the profit margin will be compressed to less than 10%.

Secondly, the sustainability of the “low – price competition” strategy is questionable, and it may trigger local countermeasures. Currently, the core strategy of Chinese platforms is “aggressive marketing + extremely low prices.” Temu relies on a bombing – style advertising campaign to capture users, and the average unit price of Shopee’s products is only $7 (compared to $21 for Mercado Libre). However, this “burn – money – for – growth” model is showing signs of fatigue. Mercado Libre’s profit margin in the second quarter of 2025 decreased by 8.7 percentage points year – on – year due to its follow – up free – shipping strategy (lowering the threshold from 79 reais to 19 reais). Although Shopee has reduced its logistics cost by 15%, its warehousing and advertising investment still accounts for more than 25% of its revenue. More importantly, the low – price strategy may intensify local contradictions. Local Brazilian merchants account for 80% – 90% of the market, but they have weak operational capabilities and a single product range. The impact of Chinese goods may trigger “protectionist” policies, such as increasing import restrictions and setting up more compliance thresholds (such as requiring local warehousing or tax registration). The risk of policies similar to those in Southeast Asia that “restrict cross – border e – commerce” is accumulating.

Thirdly, the “rule vacuum” in the early – stage market amplifies operational risks. The Brazilian e – commerce market is still in a stage of “wild growth,” and the laws and platform rules are not yet perfect. The loss rate of goods is higher than that in mature markets (up to 5% in some areas), and users have to handle returns and exchanges by themselves. The rules regarding local store qualifications and intellectual property protection are vague, and some merchants have had their stores closed by the platform for operating “pseudo – local stores.” In addition, the strong labor unions lead to high labor costs (the hourly wage of logistics delivery workers is about 15 reais, twice that in Southeast Asia), but the efficiency has not improved synchronously. These problems are particularly fatal for small and medium – sized merchants. A service provider revealed that about 30% of new Chinese merchants who entered the market this year left after a trial due to lost goods in logistics, tax non – compliance, or lower – than – expected profits.

Advice for Entrepreneurs: Respect the Market and Cross Cycles with “Localization + Long – Termism”

The Brazilian market presents both opportunities and risks. Entrepreneurs need to break away from the “get – rich – quick” mindset and build core competitiveness in three aspects: product selection, operation, and compliance.

  1. Product Selection Strategy: Focus on High – Unit – Price and Differentiated Products to Hedge Against Cost Fluctuations

    Logistics costs in Brazil account for a high proportion (about 30%), and the profit margins of low – unit – price products (such as those below $10) are easily eroded by logistics and tax costs. It is recommended to prioritize high – unit – price (above $50), low – volume and low – weight product categories (such as 3C accessories, small household appliances, and fashion accessories), using their 30% – 40% gross profit margins to cover costs. At the same time, avoid direct competition with the platform’s “low – price standard products.” Create differentiation through “customization in local languages” (such as Portuguese instructions) and “adaptation to local needs” (such as cool – feeling clothing for Brazil’s hot climate) to enhance user stickiness.

  2. Operation Strategy: Accelerate Localization and Layout “Overseas Warehouses + Local Teams”

    Logistics is the core pain point in the Brazilian market. It is recommended that merchants with the ability to do so pre – arrange overseas warehouses (such as in São Paulo and Rio de Janeiro). Overseas warehouses can reduce the delivery time from 25 days to 3 – 7 days and also lower the customs – clearance risk (local delivery can avoid some import taxes). In addition, a local operation team (including at least legal, tax, and customer – service personnel) should be established. The legal team is responsible for avoiding compliance risks such as “pseudo – local stores” and “intellectual property rights.” The tax team is familiar with policies such as the “Compliance Reduction Program” to obtain tax incentives. The customer – service team handles returns and exchanges in Portuguese to improve user satisfaction (data shows that local customer service can reduce the customer – complaint rate by 30%).

  3. Compliance Strategy: Keep Track of Policy Dynamics and Avoid “Crossing the Red Line”

    Tax and customs policies in Brazil change frequently (such as the “termination of small – value exemption” and the “Compliance Reduction Program”). Entrepreneurs need to establish a “policy monitoring mechanism”: regularly check the official website of the Brazilian Federal Revenue Service (RFB) and join cross – border e – commerce associations to obtain the latest information. For products worth less than $50, the tax burden can be reduced through “order splitting” (but pay attention to platform rules) or “local assembly” (the value of some assembled products can be reduced). At the same time, actively apply for government projects such as the “Compliance Reduction Program” to obtain tax incentives (Shopee has already applied).

  4. Competition Strategy: Shift from “Price War” to “Brand Power” to Build Long – Term Barriers

    Although Brazilian consumers’ recognition of the “high cost – performance of Chinese products” has increased, their brand loyalty is low (the repurchase rate is only 20%). It is recommended to cultivate user stickiness through “content marketing” (such as live – streaming product usage scenarios on TikTok Shop) and “membership systems” (such as discount coupons and point – redemption programs). For powerful merchants, they can try to cooperate with local KOLs (the ROI of influencer marketing in Brazil is 30% higher than in China) to shape the perception that “Chinese brands = reliable quality.”

The story of Brazilian e – commerce has just begun. For entrepreneurs, “running fast” is not as good as “walking steadily.” Only by respecting market rules, deeply cultivating local capabilities, and adhering to long – termism can they truly take root in this “last blue ocean” and achieve sustainable growth.